Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.051290 0.059738 0.069009 0.079920 0.092391 0.106181 0.122565
2025-05-25 0.037969 0.048862 0.061913 0.078630 0.099393 0.124246 0.156153
2025-06-01 0.029900 0.042009 0.057672 0.079250 0.108006 0.144784 0.195126
2025-06-08 0.023364 0.035562 0.052476 0.077342 0.112606 0.160394 0.229520
2025-06-15 0.020244 0.033052 0.051913 0.081236 0.125079 0.187453 0.281933
2025-06-22 0.016899 0.029486 0.049102 0.081231 0.131672 0.206696 0.325192
2025-06-29 0.013865 0.025779 0.045374 0.079087 0.134478 0.220331 0.361243
2025-07-06 0.011674 0.023037 0.042684 0.078052 0.138634 0.236105 0.401726
2025-07-13 0.010716 0.022277 0.043160 0.082250 0.151643 0.266900 0.468578
2025-07-20 0.009715 0.021242 0.042957 0.085155 0.162650 0.295295 0.533887
2025-07-27 0.008265 0.019052 0.040282 0.083170 0.164725 0.308674 0.574964
2025-08-03 0.007199 0.017447 0.038467 0.082496 0.168984 0.326035 0.624154
2025-08-10 0.006093 0.015575 0.035887 0.080081 0.169877 0.337800 0.665149
2025-08-17 0.005220 0.014054 0.033798 0.078363 0.171892 0.351775 0.711403
2025-08-24 0.004639 0.013111 0.032799 0.078766 0.178137 0.374192 0.775217
2025-08-31 0.003976 0.011823 0.030822 0.076763 0.179164 0.386562 0.820830
2025-09-07 0.003759 0.011654 0.031416 0.080575 0.192881 0.425161 0.920689
2025-09-14 0.003348 0.010870 0.030405 0.080543 0.198212 0.447217 0.989303
2025-09-21 0.002886 0.009840 0.028615 0.078402 0.198570 0.458963 1.037829
2025-09-28 0.002537 0.009065 0.027354 0.077368 0.201312 0.475907 1.098368
2025-10-05 0.002440 0.009050 0.028114 0.081529 0.216659 0.521258 1.222275
2025-10-12 0.002299 0.008861 0.028368 0.084409 0.229213 0.561440 1.337951
2025-10-19 0.002005 0.008097 0.026870 0.082439 0.229676 0.574622 1.395693